Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Published 9:51 AM by

Scientists expect that completely ice-free North Pole to become 2054

Scientists expect that completely ice-free North Pole to become 2054

The combined group of climate scientists from the U.S. and China, predicts that the north pole of the planet will completely ice-free for the year 2054-2058. Traditionally, seasonal minimum ice at the North Pole was in September, so in one of Septembers 2054-58's North Pole for the first time in the last 25,000 years may be completely liquid, say climatologists. Scientists say that the cycles of fluctuations in the ice at the North Pole are marked annually - a maximum in March, at least - in September. In recent years, scientists have begun to pay attention to the fact that the summer ice cap is melting faster and significantly more than the freezes in the cold season. The main driver of this imbalance is thought to be the global warming. One way or another, but the area of the polar ice caps shrinking more than grows, so by the end of the year there has been a negative trend. many climatologists recently often build models of exactly when the balance is such that the summer ice cap is completely transformed into the water below the growing influence of temperature and solar activity. Some say that it could happen by 2100, others say 2040 or even 2035's. joint team of researchers from the United States and China used the model calculations CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5), updated with the latest data obtained from weather stations and satellites . Experts say that they are 100% convinced of the trend to the warming, and that is now in the process of melting ice joined not only by thin seasonal ice, but also the long-term, which in the past were not affected by seasonal fluctuations. Experts say they included in their calculations data obtained up to 2013, whereas before most of the models and forecasts operated data for 2007. With this in mind, climatologists say that in 2054-58, the North Pole in September for a few weeks to become fully aquatic, and in subsequent years this gap has a chance to grow for up to 1 month in the year.
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